{"id":11907,"date":"2026-04-19T13:00:28","date_gmt":"2026-04-19T13:00:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinscap.info\/blog\/dogecoin-nears-key-turning-point-as-tct-model-begins-to-form\/"},"modified":"2026-04-19T13:00:28","modified_gmt":"2026-04-19T13:00:28","slug":"dogecoin-nears-key-turning-point-as-tct-model-begins-to-form","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinscap.info\/blog\/dogecoin-nears-key-turning-point-as-tct-model-begins-to-form\/","title":{"rendered":"Dogecoin Nears Key Turning Point As TCT Model Begins To Form"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Dogecoin price is still compressed into a narrowing range just below $0.1, but analyst Lars has issued an update to a technical framework he has been tracking for weeks, one that now points to a significant move coming for the meme cryptocurrency. The outcome, however, hinges on one crucial confirmation that has yet to arrive.<\/p>\n

Dogecoin TCT Model Begins To Play Out<\/b><\/h2>\n

Bitcoin inflows are still steering the broader market, but Dogecoin has yet to fully follow that inflow momentum. It briefly pushed above $0.10 in the last 24 hours but has since slipped back below, leaving this level as the key pivot that will determine whether the price remains range-bound or transitions into a more decisive move.<\/p>\n

That is the basis of a new chart update from crypto analyst Lars on X, where he said <\/a>he has adjusted the starting point of the current range and is now waiting for what he calls a TCT model 1 distribution confirmation.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Lars\u2019 update is centered on a revised read of where the current trading range should begin, which changes how the compression structure is interpreted. In the charts he shared, Dogecoin is shown moving upward into a pink resistance band that stretches from $0.098 into the low-$0.10 region.\u00a0<\/p>\n

That band sits above a series of rising local lows on the one-hour candlestick chart, and the projected path suggests one more push higher into a third tap before rejection. The 4-hour chart carries the same idea on a broader timeframe, where Lars labels the region as a decisional range to monitor for distribution schematics, adding that no confirmation means no trade.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Dogecoin Price Chart. Source: @Larskooistra_ On X<\/a><\/p>\n

The $0.10 Resistance And What Lies Beneath It<\/b><\/h2>\n

The $0.098 to $0.100 band has functioned as stubborn resistance for Dogecoin since late March. Dogecoin Dogecoin price tap $0.1 as predicted.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

In another analysis, <\/a>the analyst said he attempted to short Dogecoin during an extended TCT distribution, following a bearish break of structure at the New York open. The move initially looked like confirmation of further downside, but he noted there were two possible explanations behind the price action.<\/p>\n

One scenario was that the breakdown was genuine, with market makers stepping in to push the price lower right at the session open. The other pointed to a manipulation sell-off, possibly linked to Bitcoin accumulation.<\/p>\n

The overall outlook for Dogecoin is still mixed when it comes to technical indicators<\/a>, with 16 indicators currently signaling bearish conditions against 14 bullish signals at the time of writing, while the RSI sits at a neutral 61.45.<\/p>\n

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Dogecoin price is still compressed into a narrowing range just below $0.1, but analyst Lars has issued an update to a technical framework he has been tracking for weeks, one that now points to a significant move coming for the meme cryptocurrency. The outcome, however, hinges on one crucial confirmation that has yet to…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[602],"tags":[104,103,102,60,106,51,47,56],"class_list":["post-11907","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-altcoin","tag-altcoin","tag-altcoins","tag-crypto-market","tag-crypto-news","tag-cryptocurrency","tag-doge","tag-dogecoin","tag-dogeusd"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinscap.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11907","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinscap.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinscap.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinscap.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinscap.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11907"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/coinscap.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11907\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinscap.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11907"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinscap.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11907"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinscap.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11907"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}