{"id":9384,"date":"2025-12-09T14:00:23","date_gmt":"2025-12-09T14:00:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinscap.info\/blog\/did-2025-mark-a-bear-market-for-bitcoin-predictions-point-to-a-150000-rally-in-2026\/"},"modified":"2025-12-09T14:00:23","modified_gmt":"2025-12-09T14:00:23","slug":"did-2025-mark-a-bear-market-for-bitcoin-predictions-point-to-a-150000-rally-in-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinscap.info\/blog\/did-2025-mark-a-bear-market-for-bitcoin-predictions-point-to-a-150000-rally-in-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Did 2025 Mark A Bear Market For Bitcoin? Predictions Point To A $150,000 Rally In 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As Bitcoin (BTC) experienced significant volatility throughout the year, reaching new all-time highs (ATHs) before enduring sharp corrections of up to 30%, the cryptocurrency community has become increasingly polarized regarding its future direction.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Many analysts are raising concerns about a potential bear market emerging in 2026; however, market expert Shanaka Anslem has offered a different perspective on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), questioning whether 2025 has already represented the real bear market.<\/p>\n<h2>A Sign Of Cycle Change<\/h2>\n<p>In his analysis, Anslem highlights <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/shanaka86\/status\/1997977728503746637?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">key evidence<\/a>. For the first time in history, Bitcoin breached its all-time high prior to the Halving event in April of this year, which he argues isn&#8217;t a bullish signal but rather an indication of the cycle inverting.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>According to him, 2024 should not be viewed as the beginning of a new bull run; instead, it was a period of what he calls \u201cpolitical repricing\u201d as the market factored in a pro-crypto administration with President Donald Trump\u2019s reelection.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The characteristics of a bear market have been evident in 2025, according to Anslem. Bitcoin\u2019s dominance has reached multi-year highs while altcoins continue to struggle, leading to quarter-after-quarter declines in their values.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Additionally, a massive $3.5 billion in exchange-traded fund (ETF) outflows occurred within just one month. This year saw a significant 29% drawdown from its October highs, paired with extreme fear readings on various sentiment indices.<\/p>\n<p>Anslem insists that while the four-year Halving cycle remains relevant, its impact has evolved. With $120 billion in ETF interconnected with the Federal Reserve&#8217;s (Fed) liquidity, the Halving continues to dictate BTC\u2019s supply, but demand now aligns with broader economic narratives rather than the more crypto-specific factors.<\/p>\n<h2>Major Bitcoin Rally Ahead?\u00a0<\/h2>\n<p>What does Anslem\u2019s \u201ccycle inversion\u201d theory implies for 2026? If the bear market has already transpired, masked by nominal highs, the next logical phase might be a genuine blow-off top.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>His predictions suggest Bitcoin&#8217;s price could soar to between $150,000 and $200,000, particularly as global liquidity continues to expand and directs capital toward hard assets. Anslem believes that many in the market are currently positioned for a downturn that has already occurred.<\/p>\n<p>However, dissenting opinions exist. Analyst Mr. Wall Street <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/mrofwallstreet\/status\/1997589239970598951?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">argues <\/a>that the bottom for Bitcoin has not yet arrived and won\u2019t be realized in the coming weeks or months.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>He highlights that the critical support level has been breached, indicated by the weekly exponential moving-average (EMA50) closing below the threshold.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>He asserts that the market has entered the early stages of a substantial bear market, predicting that it will only abate once Bitcoin reaches the $54,000 to $60,000 range, which he expects might occur in the fourth quarter of 2026.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Despite this bearish outlook, he remains cautiously optimistic about Bitcoin in the short term. He expects a potential upward movement to retest the EMA50 Weekly, which currently stands at approximately $100,000, while maintaining that mid-term targets are much lower.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/Oh4G73ZL\/\" alt=\"Bitcoin\" width=\"1814\" height=\"928\" \/><\/p>\n<p>At the time of writing, BTC was trading at $90,352, which represents a 28% difference between current valuations and ATH levels.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As Bitcoin (BTC) experienced significant volatility throughout the year, reaching new all-time highs (ATHs) before enduring sharp corrections of up to 30%, the cryptocurrency community has become increasingly polarized regarding its future direction.\u00a0 Many analysts are raising concerns about a potential bear market emerging in 2026; however, market expert Shanaka Anslem has offered a different&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9385,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[93],"tags":[33,48,43,194,35,49,50,45,36,102,60],"class_list":["post-9384","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin-price","tag-bitcoin-technical-analysis","tag-btc","tag-btc-news","tag-btc-price","tag-btcusdt","tag-crypto","tag-crypto-market","tag-crypto-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinscap.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9384","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinscap.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinscap.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinscap.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinscap.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9384"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/coinscap.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9384\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinscap.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9385"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinscap.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9384"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinscap.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9384"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinscap.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9384"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}